Data Source:

Past Meetings

Rate Description Date Previous % Change % Rate % Statement Minutes
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 29 Jan 2025 4.50 0.00 4.50
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Wed 29 Jan 2025 4.25 0.00 4.25
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 18 Dec 2024 4.75 0.25 4.50
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Wed 18 Dec 2024 4.50 0.25 4.25
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Thu 07 Nov 2024 5.00 0.25 4.75
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Thu 07 Nov 2024 4.75 0.25 4.50
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 18 Sep 2024 5.50 0.50 5.00
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Wed 18 Sep 2024 5.25 0.50 4.75
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 31 Jul 2024 5.50 0.00 5.50
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Wed 31 Jul 2024 5.25 0.00 5.25
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 12 Jun 2024 5.50 0.00 5.50
Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit Wed 12 Jun 2024 5.25 0.00 5.25
Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit Wed 01 May 2024 5.50 0.00 5.50

Upcoming Meetings

Date Time
Wed 19 Mar 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Name Description Rate
Parul Jain, MacroFin Analytics & Rutgers Business School Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit 4.50 %
Parul Jain, MacroFin Analytics & Rutgers Business School Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit 4.25 %
Date Time
Wed 07 May 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 18 Jun 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 30 Jul 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 17 Sep 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 29 Oct 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 10 Dec 2025 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Tue 27 Jan 2026 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 18 Mar 2026 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 29 Apr 2026 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 17 Jun 2026 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 29 Jul 2026 02:00 PM Washington time
Date Time
Wed 16 Sep 2026 02:00 PM Washington time

News

New Residential Construction
Privately-owned housing starts in February 2025 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,501,000. This is 11.2 percent (+/- 15.7%)* above the revised January 2025 estimate of 1,350,000.


February 2025: +11.2* % Change
January 2025 (r): -11.5* % Change

Statement by Governor Bowman
FRB: Press Release - All Releases -

18/03/2025 00:00:00

Statement by Governor Bowman
Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales
U.S. total business end-of-month inventories for January 2025 were $2,591.9 billion, up 0.3 percent (+/- 0.1 percent) from last month. U.S. total business sales were $1,896.5 billion, down 0.8 percent (+/- 0.2 percent) from last month.


January 2025: +0.3 % Change in Inventories
December 2024 (r): -0.2 % Change in Inventories

Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services
U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2025 were $722.7 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (+/-0.5 percent)* from the previous month.


February 2025: +0.2* % Change
January 2025 (r): -1.2 % Change

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Renasant Corporation
FRB: Press Release - All Releases -

14/03/2025 18:30:00

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Renasant Corporation
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of proposal by EverBank Financial Corp
FRB: Press Release - All Releases -

14/03/2025 18:30:00

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of proposal by EverBank Financial Corp
Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement action with Lake Shore MHC and Lake Shore Bancorp Inc.
FRB: Press Release - All Releases -

13/03/2025 15:00:00

Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement action with Lake Shore MHC and Lake Shore Bancorp Inc.
Quarterly Services Survey
U.S. selected services total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation but not for price changes, was $5,780.7 billion, an increase of 1.1 percent (+/- 0.4 percent) from the third quarter of 2024 and up 6.9 percent (+/- 0.2 percent) from the fourth quarter of 2023.


4th Qtr 2024: +1.1 % Change
3rd Qtr 2024 (r): +2.1 % Change

Understanding Hard-to-Count and Historically Undercounted Populations
Random Samplings -

12/03/2025 20:16:30

In a world driven by data, accurate population counts form the foundation for informed decision-making.
Business Formation Statistics
Total U.S. Business Applications were 423,144 in February 2025, up 7.8% from January 2025.


February 2025: +7.8° % Change
January 2025 (r): -13.9° % Change

Agencies issue 2024 Shared National Credit Program report
FRB: Press Release - All Releases -

10/03/2025 14:00:00

Agencies issue 2024 Shared National Credit Program report
Agencies issue 2024 Shared National Credit Program report
Agencies issue 2024 Shared National Credit Program report
FEDS Paper: Challenging Demographic Representativeness at State Borders: Implications for Policy Research
FRB: Working Papers -

07/03/2025 18:38:00

Benjamin S. Kay and Albina Khatiwoda

This study examines the demographic characteristics of U.S. state border counties, comparing them with those of nonborder counties. The demographic representativeness of border counties is essential for the interpretation of the results in state border-county difference-in-difference analyses, used in state policy evaluations. Our findings reveal that border counties generally have higher proportions of White, older, and disabled populations. We also see occasional instances of wide demographic differences across state boundaries. These differences potentially undermine the external validity and identification of policy evaluations. We illustrate the implications of these finding through a case study, highlighting the need for robustness checks and demographic considerations in border-county policy research.

Forecasters

Forecaster
Score
Parul Jain, MacroFin Analytics & Rutgers Business School
100.00
Joel Naroff
100.00
Flavio Serrano
50.00
Washington__Federal_Reserve.jpg
Stefan Fussan, CC BY-SA 3.0 DE, via Wikimedia Commons

The Federal Reserve Bank: Navigating the Heartbeat of the U.S. Economy

The Federal Reserve Bank, often referred to as the "Fed," stands as a cornerstone of the United States' economic infrastructure. Established over a century ago, the Fed plays a central role in shaping monetary policy, maintaining financial stability, and fostering economic growth. Let's delve into the workings and significance of the Federal Reserve Bank in the intricate tapestry of the U.S. economy.

The Birth of the Fed

The Federal Reserve System was established in 1913 in response to financial panics and banking crises that had plagued the nation's history. The primary purpose of its creation was to provide a more stable and secure financial system, reduce the frequency of bank runs, and ensure an elastic currency supply. The Fed was envisioned as a unique blend of public and private entities, with regional Reserve Banks operating under the guidance of a centralized Board of Governors in Washington, D.C.

Maintaining Monetary Policy

One of the Fed's most critical responsibilities is the formulation and execution of monetary policy. Through tools such as open market operations, discount rates, and reserve requirements, the Fed influences the money supply and interest rates. This influence, in turn, impacts borrowing costs, spending, investment, and overall economic activity. The Fed's aim is to strike a delicate balance between controlling inflation and promoting employment and economic growth.

Banking Supervision and Financial Stability

The Federal Reserve also plays a crucial role in ensuring the safety and soundness of the nation's banking system. It conducts regular examinations and assessments of banks and financial institutions, aiming to prevent excessive risk-taking and maintain the stability of the financial sector. Additionally, the Fed collaborates with other regulatory bodies to create a robust framework that safeguards against systemic risks and crises.

Emergency Lending and Crisis Management

In times of financial turmoil, the Fed acts as a lender of last resort, providing liquidity and stability to financial markets. During the 2008 financial crisis, for example, the Fed implemented unprecedented measures to prevent a complete collapse of the banking system. These actions included providing emergency loans and implementing quantitative easing to stimulate the economy.

Transparency and Accountability

The Federal Reserve Bank operates within a framework of transparency and accountability. While its decisions are largely autonomous, the Fed communicates its policies, actions, and economic projections to the public. Regular press conferences, meetings, and publications provide insight into the Fed's rationale and approach to monetary policy, allowing markets and the public to make informed decisions.

In a nutshell

The Federal Reserve Bank stands as a pillar of the U.S. economy, serving as the guardian of monetary stability, financial security, and economic prosperity. Through its intricate mechanisms and dedicated efforts, the Fed plays a pivotal role in steering the nation's economic course, responding to challenges, and nurturing growth. As the economic landscape continues to evolve, the Federal Reserve's mission remains unwavering—to safeguard the nation's financial well-being and ensure a stable and prosperous future for all.

As we navigate the currents of economic change, the Federal Reserve Bank's enduring commitment to its mandate remains a guiding light, providing reassurance and stability in an ever-fluctuating financial world.

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